What MLS coach would/should get fired next? May 16 edition

Where did I find these defenders?

In an effort to liven up Major League Soccer’s traditional early summer stretch where all the good teams lose to bad teams and no new players are signed, I’m starting a MLS coach that should get fired ranking watch. I’ll try and update this occasionally. Bear in mind that MLS teams rarely fire their manager, even if they deserve it (This means you, Toronto FC). List goes from should get fired to not a chance, though the bottom 10 are fudged a bit, since none of them are going to lose their job this year.

1. Aron Winter, Toronto FC. Winter is 0-0-8 to start this year, worst in MLS history, and has won only 26 percent of his matches overall. The only thing keeping him in a job (I’m guessing) is the team’s relative success in the Canadian Championship/Champions League. Should he go? Yes. Will he go? Probably.

2. John Spencer, Portland. Portland rode a wave of fan support and never-say-die attitude almost to the playoffs last year, but this year have been a mess tactically and given away leads in several matches late on. Also, owner Merritt Paulson seems more like a European-style owner than some of the others in the league, which might mean he has an itchy trigger finger. Should he go? If the Timbers don’t start stringing together some results. Will he go? See the previous answer.

3. Piotr Nowak, Philadelphia Union. On the bright side, the Union don’t have a very good team, and have been mostly competitive despite this. On the dark side, Nowak was responsible for trading/releasing their two best players. I can’t imagine that the Union will stick with him unless there is a dramatic improvement, which I also can’t imagine. Should he go? Yes. Will he go? Probably at some point this season.

4. Schellas Hyndman, FC Dallas. The pride of Macau (yes, he’s from Macau) led Dallas to the MLS Cup final in 2010, but the team struggled down the stretch and is showing worrying signs of a lack of discipline lately. Should he go? Dallas has been injury-hit, but have been surprisingly poor despite that. Will he go? Probably not.

5. Bruce Arena, LA Galaxy. It’s hard to see the Galaxy dismissing one of the great coaches from the U.S., but it’s also hard to see Arena sticking around if LA continue to stink so bad. The most likely situation is that the Galaxy rally slightly, make the playoffs, but don’t win the MLS Cup, then the Galaxy hire Gregg Berhalter or someone to take over in the offseason. Should he go: Probably not. Will he go? Most likely after the season.

6. Robin Fraser, Chivas USA

7. Robert Warzycha, Columbus

8. Frank Klopas, Chicago

9. Hans Backe, New York

10. Sigi Schmid, Seattle

11. Jason Kreis, Real Salt Lake (Note: Only because he’s bound to get attention from Europe eventually)

12. Peter Vermes, Sporting Kansas City

13. Oscar Pareja, Colorado

14. Dominic Kinnear, Houston

15. Martin Rennie, Vancouver

16. Frank Yallop, San Jose

17. Ben Olsen, DC United

18. Jay Heaps, New England

19. Jesse Marsch, Montreal